Karis Way

Random thoughts from Eagan, Minn.

Thursday, July 31, 2008

An American hero v. world's biggest celebrity

From Time magazine's online site:

Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois has one of the most remarkable storylines in modern political history: He brands himself as a new, multi-racial, principled politician, who can change not just the policies of Washington, but the fundamentals of how politics works around the world. "People of Berlin — people of the world — this is our moment. This is our time," Obama announced last week, before an impressive European throng.

Republican Sen. John McCain, meanwhile, has struggled. His own well-known heroic narrative, as a prisoner of war-turned-battle-tested senator, has been eclipsed by the nation's Obama excitement. A Wall Street Journal poll last week showed that 55% of voters are more focused on Obama in this election, with just 27% of voters more focused on McCain. The Arizona Republican has been reduced to listing off a series of issues he thinks will help him with voters: a temporary gas tax reprieve, more offshore oil drilling and an energy plan called "The Lexington Project," to name a few.

For a long time, Republicans inside and outside the campaign have griped privately about the need to find their storyline. And there have been fierce debates about how to do it. Some of McCain's former advisers have said that McCain needs to stick to his historic strengths, his maverick, straight-talking approach, which appeals to the political center. Others have urged McCain to charge at Obama head on. If the race is going to be about Obama, they reason, then Obama must be taken down.

Now the debate has come to an end, and the more aggressive approach has clearly won out. The McCain campaign, under the direction of its new leader, Steve Schmidt, has settled on a storyline that could last through the election. It is, at root, an experience argument, adjusted to undercut the enormous enthusiasm that Obama generates. It can be seen in the recent McCain campaign ad that compares Obama to Britney Spears and Paris Hilton, or the recent Republican Party ad that compares Obama to David Hasselhoff. It can be seen in the recent self-deprecating distribution of "junior varsity" press passes for reporters on the McCain campaign, and in the daily discussion of Obama as "The One" by McCain aides.

It is an argument that amounts to this: Barack Obama is a huge phenomenon, but he does not have the experience, or the judgment, to lead the country. In fact, he is just another politician, an empty suit, who will do whatever he needs, and make as many vague but eloquent speeches as he has to, to get elected. John McCain, on the other hand, is a proven, principled leader you already know.

In a conference call Wednesday with reporters, the campaign laid out its cards. "It's beyond dispute that he has become the biggest celebrity in the world," Schmidt said of Obama. "The question we are posing to the American people is this: Is he ready to lead?"

"Do the American people want to elect the world's biggest celebrity or do they want to elect an American hero, somebody who is a leader, somebody who has the right ideas to deal in a serious way with the problems we face?" Schmidt continued. "And that will be the fundamental choice that Americans will make as they focus in on who to elect the 44th President of the United States 97 days from now."

McCain's new storyline speaks directly at the apparent concerns of a vast swath of voters who are still hesitant about supporting Obama, despite their disapproval of recent Republican policies and an unpopular Republican president. But it also carries a risk for McCain, because at a time of great economic anxiety, when voters claim to be eager to hear positive solutions, it is fundamentally negative in tone — a pose that McCain has been less comfortable with in the past.

On Wednesday afternoon, after the ad with Britney Spears was released, Obama adviser David Axelrod struck back along these lines. "It makes you wonder who's behind all this because this isn't the John McCain we expected," Axelrod said in an interview on MSNBC. Obama himself chimed in at a campaign stop in Missouri. "He doesn't seem to have anything to say very positive about himself," Obama said of McCain. "He seems to only be talking about me. You need to ask John McCain what he's for and not just what he's against."

A former McCain adviser, John Weaver, also expressed worry to the Atlantic Monthly that the spot would make McCain look "childish" and "diminish the brand." On the other side of the argument, Republican strategists worry that the new approach may not be enough to take down Obama, especially in the absence of a third-party group, like the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth in 2004. "They have managed to scare off outside groups," said one veteran party strategist of McCain, who as a longtime supporter of campaign finance reform is opposed to such third-party spending. "The outside groups have always been able to say what the candidate can not."

The new McCain storyline has also been hurt by factual problems in many of their charges, which could cause McCain problems over time. One advertisement, which included the chants of Obama supporters, accused Obama of being responsible for high gas prices, a claim without evidence to back it up. Another suggested that Obama avoided meeting with troops in Germany because he could not bring along the media to make it a photo op. In truth, Obama canceled the meeting because he did not want to be accused of holding a campaign event with wounded soldiers.

But these developments are certain to be less important over time than the fact that the McCain campaign, for better or worse, has finally settled on a a storyline that could carry the presumptive Republican nominee through the convention and into November. As a second Republican strategist put it late Wednesday afternoon, "They at least have somewhat of a message." And for one of the first times in months, the campaign has managed to maintain that message for almost two weeks in a row.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Ice sheet breaks loose

7-square-mile ice sheet breaks loose in Canada


Wed Jul 30, 8:09 AM EDT

A chunk of ice spreading across 7 square miles has broken off a Canadian ice shelf in the Arctic, scientists said Tuesday.

Derek Mueller, a research at Trent University, was careful not to blame global warming, but said the event was consistent with the theory that the current Arctic climate isn't rebuilding ice sheets.

"We're in a different climate now," he said. "It's not conducive to regrowing them. It's a one-way process."

Mueller said the sheet broke away last week from the Ward Hunt Ice Shelf off the north coast of Ellesmere Island in Canada's far north. He said a crack in the shelf was first spotted in 2002 and a survey this spring found a network of fissures.

The sheet is the biggest piece shed by one of Canada's six ice shelves since the Ayles shelf broke loose in 2005 from the coast of Ellesmere, about 500 miles from the North Pole.

Formed by accumulating snow and freezing meltwater, ice shelves are large platforms of thick, ancient sea ice that float on the ocean's surface. Ellesmere Island was once entirely ringed by a single enormous ice shelf that broke up in the early 1900s.

At 170 square miles and 130-feet thick, the Ward Hunt shelf is the largest of those remnants. Mueller said it has been steadily declining since the 1930s.

Gary Stern, co-leader of an international research program on sea ice, said it's the same story all around the Arctic.

Speaking from the Coast Guard icebreaker Amundsen in Canada's north, Stern said He hadn't seen any ice in weeks. Plans to set up an ice camp last February had to be abandoned when usually dependable ice didn't form for the second year in a row, he said.

"Nobody on the ship is surprised anymore," Stern said. "We've been trying to get the word out for the longest time now that things are happening fast and they're going to continue to happen fast."

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Rainbow Foods and the 'new math'

On Sunday I went to the Rainbow store at 1276 Town Centre Drive in Eagan, Minn. (Store #8815.) On sale this week are Healthy Choice dinners @ five for $10 (limit five). I bought six of them because I had a coupon from Healthy Choice for one free frozen item (maximum value of $5.29). When I got out to the car, I checked over the receipt and found that I was charged $10 for five dinners and the regular price of $3.69 for the sixth dinner and then was given a credit of $2 (the sale price of one dinner), meaning that I was charged $1.69 for the "free"item". I went back to the service counter, and was informed that when several items are purchased, the coupon for the "free" item is for the lowest priced item. That may make sense to someone but not to me because, as I stated earlier, I ended up paying $1.69 for a dinner that should have been free.

Monday, July 28, 2008

'Moeville Castle' Sold

After a year and a half on the market our house in rural Ellsworth, Wis., (actually on the outskirts of a hamlet called Moeville) has been sold -- for thousands of dollars less than what we thought we would get for it. The house is the one pictured on this blog. Early in 2007, when we had Realtors look at it, a woman from Prescott, Wis., told us she'd list it at $339,000. We thought that was on the high side so when our son developed a "for sale by owner" website, the house and its 10 acres were offered for $288,000. After a few months we decided to list with Red Wing Coldwell Banker for $299,000. There were no offers during the six-month listing. We eventually accepted an offer of $233,000 from some people who had first looked at the house when it was for sale by owner. Their offer was not contingent on the sale of their house, as a previous offer for many more thousands was. Those people's house did not sell.